Qi Huaigao, ed., Research Report on China’s Neighboring Diplomacy (2018-2019), Beijing: World Affairs Press, November 2019.

ISBN: 978-7-5012-5384-5

　　Dr. Qi Huaigao is Vice Dean and Associate Professor at Fudan University’s Institute of International Studies.

Research Report on China’s Neighboring Diplomacy (2018-2019) (“the Report”)is compiled by Center for China’s Relations with Neighboring Countries of Fudan University (CCRNC-Fudan) and contributed by over 20 China’s prominent scholars. The Report mainly covers 4 topics: “Assessment and Outlook of China’s Neighboring Diplomacy in 2018-2019”, “China’s Relations with Major Powers in its Neighboring Area in 2018”, “China’s Sub-regional Diplomacy in its Neighboring Area in 2018” and “Hot Issues of China’s Neighboring Diplomacy in 2018”. Besides, the appendix part of the Report is composed of “China’s Neighboring Diplomacy Chronicle in 2018” and “Statistics of China and its Neighboring Countries in 2018”. The report affirms the achievements made by China’s neighboring diplomacy during the new era of socialism with Chinese characteristics, and points out the new problems and challenges that China’s neighboring diplomacy is facing. The report shows that in 2018, the strategic competition between China and the United States in the neighboring area of China has become increasingly fierce, turning into the biggest external factor affecting China’s neighboring security environment. Hot issues in neighboring area such as the DPRK nuclear issue have cooled down, but the possibilities of reverse exist. The “intermediate countries” among neighboring countries are getting better relations with China, which shall be further strengthened. The Asia multilateral cooperation regimes are facing an impact while expected to be integrated. The Report is a compilation for experts and scholars to know about the relations of China and its neighboring countries, contributed by a group of outstanding scholars, whose specialties are in the field of China’s neighboring diplomacy.

Contents

Preface: The Assessment of Situation, Positioning and New Strategy of China’s Neighboring Diplomacy……Shi Yuanhua / 7

Part I Assessment and Outlook of China’s Neighboring Diplomacy in 2018-2019

1. Assessment and Outlook of China’s Neighboring Security in 2018-2019……Zhang Jie & Li Zhifei / 3

2. Assessment and Outlook of China’s Neighboring Economy in 2018-2019……Zhong Feiteng / 15

3. Assessment and Outlook of China’s Neighboring Cultural Exchanges in 2018-2019……Xu Liping / 29

4. Sino-US Military Competition in Asia and China's Strategic Choice……Zhang Fang / 37

Part II China’s Relations with Major Powers in its Neighboring Area in 2018

1. China’s Diplomacy with the U.S.: Shaping Medium and Long-term Strategic Transformation……Pan Yaling / 53

2. China’s Diplomacy with Russia: Continuous High Level of Development……Li Yonghui / 65

3. Sino-Indian Diplomacy: Hidden Worries behind the Good Relations……Sun Xihui / 76

4. Sino-Japanese Diplomacy: Return to Normal Status while Remedy Awaits……Wu Jinan / 88

Part III China’s Sub-regional Diplomacy in its Neighboring Area in 2018

1. China’s Diplomacy with Northeast Asian Countries: A Prosperous Year……Liu Qing / 101

2. China’s Diplomacy with Southeast Asian Countries: Achievements, Problems and Solutions……Lu Guangsheng & Nie Jiao / 113

3. China’s Diplomacy with South Asian Countries: Achievements and Hidden Worries Coexist……Lin Minwang / 128

4. China’s Diplomacy with Central Asian Countries: Consolidating and Improving Diplomatic Relations Continuously……Zhang Ning / 141

5. China’s Diplomacy with West Asian Countries: Strive for A Brand New Era……Guo Rui & Wang Xuesong / 147

6. China’s Diplomacy with South Pacific: Adaptation In Major Countries Game……Fei Sheng / 158

Part IV Hot Issues of China’s Neighboring Diplomacy in 2018

1. Future Trend of Denuclearization on the Korean Peninsula and DPRK-US relations……Dong Xiangrong / 171

2. Current Status and Prospects of Joint Development between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea……Yan Yan / 179

3. Progress and Challenges of the COC Negotiation……Zhao Weihua / 189

4. Issues of the Rakhine State in Myanmar and China's Mediation Diplomacy……He Jiajie / 199

5. New Progress in the Peace Process of Afghanistan and the Role of China……Wang Shida / 212

Appendix 1: China’s Neighboring Diplomacy Chronicle in 2018……Zhao Weihua / 222

Appendix 2: Statistics of China and its Neighboring Countries in 2018……He Yongpeng / 389

Acknowledgements:

Research Report on China’s Neighboring Diplomacy (2018-2019) was made possible through a generous grant from School of International Relations and Public Affairs at Fudan University.